Top best performing leagues and teams per soccer betting market (2017 - 2018)

  • September 13, 2018
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Intro

Have you ever wondered how a good day or a bad day of soccer betting looks like? Which team is "lucky" and which one is "unlucky"?
Of course you can recognise one by how much you won or lost, but statistically how would luck or bad luck look like for your favourite betting market?

We will take a look at all the days from the past season (2017 to 2018) with more than 100 games played per day and rank the days, leagues and teams from the best to the worst performing.


Both teams to score

The top 3 best days (London time zone) for playing btts yes

date num. matches btts no total matches % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
2017-05-28 45 117 0.38 0.62 2.64
2017-05-14 54 132 0.41 0.59 2.05
2018-05-12 77 185 0.42 0.58 1.89

This means that on 2017-05-28 out of 117 matches, 72 were games in which both teams scored at least one goal.



The top 3 worst days for playing btts yes

date num. matches btts no total matches % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
2018-03-24 84 123 0.68 0.32 4.38
2018-02-11 102 173 0.59 0.41 2.19
2018-02-25 105 184 0.57 0.43 1.74


The top 10 best leagues for playing btts yes

country league % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
Qatar Stars League 0.34 0.66 2.31
Saudi Arabia Professional League 0.34 0.66 2.22
Luxembourg National Division 0.35 0.65 2.15
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 0.35 0.65 2.13
Iceland Premier League 0.36 0.64 1.96
China Super League 0.37 0.63 1.86
South Korea K-League Classic 0.38 0.62 1.66
Australia A-League 0.39 0.61 1.52
Vietnam V-League 0.39 0.61 1.48
Netherlands Eredivisie 0.39 0.61 1.43


The top 10 worst leagues for playing btts yes

country league % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
Greece Football League 0.68 0.32 2.94
Tunisia Ligue Professionnelle 1 0.64 0.36 2.1
Belarus Premier League 0.62 0.38 1.95
Guatemala Liga Nacional 0.62 0.38 1.84
Bosnia and Herzegovina Premier League 0.61 0.39 1.84
Ukraine First League 0.61 0.39 1.78
Argentina Primera B Nacional 0.61 0.39 1.72
Israel Liga Leumit 0.60 0.40 1.58
Greece Super League 0.60 0.40 1.58
Bulgaria First PFL 0.59 0.41 1.54


The top 10 best teams for playing btts yes

country team % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
Finland Hercules Oulu 0.14 0.86 3.34
Slovakia AS Trencin 0.16 0.84 3.15
Finland Narpes Kraft 0.19 0.81 2.83
Netherlands Almere City FC 0.2 0.8 2.75
Denmark FC Nordsjaelland 0.22 0.78 2.59
China Guangzhou RF 0.22 0.78 2.57
Honduras Juticalpa FC 0.22 0.78 2.53
UAE Al-Jazira Abu Dhabi 0.23 0.77 2.49
Qatar Al-Arabi SC Doha 0.23 0.77 2.49
Luxembourg US Hostert 0.23 0.77 2.46


The top 10 worst teams for playing btts yes

country team % btts no % btts yes number of times the stddev
Guatemala Deportivo Carcha 0.86 0.14 3.46
Belarus FC Gomel 0.81 0.19 2.93
Belarus Dinamo Minsk 0.81 0.19 2.93
Spain Real Sociedad B 0.8 0.2 2.86
Tunisia JS Kairouan 0.8 0.2 2.86
Russia Amkar Perm 0.79 0.21 2.75
Argentina Sportivo Estudiantes 0.78 0.22 2.7
Montenegro Rudar Pljevlja 0.78 0.22 2.66
Guatemala Deportivo Mictlan 0.77 0.23 2.61
Italy Rende 1968 0.77 0.23 2.58

Over 2.5 goals



The top 3 best days for playing over 2.5 goals

date matches over 2.5 total matches % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
2017-04-29 68 105 0.65 0.35 3.16
2018-05-19 80 132 0.61 0.39 2.32
2017-05-14 78 132 0.59 0.41 2.01


The top 3 worst days for playing over 2.5 goals

date matches over 2.5 total matches % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
2018-03-24 39 123 0.32 0.68 3.61
2018-02-25 72 184 0.39 0.61 2.09
2018-01-28 54 138 0.39 0.61 2.09


The top 10 best leagues for playing over 2.5 goals

country league % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
Luxembourg National Division 0.68 0.32 1.99
Qatar Stars League 0.67 0.33 1.98
Finland Finnish Cup 0.67 0.33 1.97
Finland Kakkonen Group B 0.67 0.33 1.94
Finland Kakkonen Group C 0.67 0.33 1.89
Faroe Islands Premier League 0.66 0.34 1.83
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 0.66 0.34 1.78
Thailand Premier League 0.65 0.35 1.7
Estonia Meistriliiga 0.65 0.35 1.69
Finland Kakkonen Group A 0.65 0.35 1.68


The top 10 worst leagues for playing over 2.5 goals

country league % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
Argentina Primera B Nacional 0.29 0.71 2.44
Spain Segunda Division B Group 3 0.32 0.68 2.08
South Africa Premier Soccer League 0.33 0.67 2.03
Brazil Serie C 0.33 0.67 1.99
Brazil Copa do Brasil 0.34 0.66 1.87
Montenegro Prva Liga 0.35 0.65 1.77
Guatemala Liga Nacional 0.35 0.65 1.72
Spain Segunda Division B Group 4 0.36 0.64 1.67
Greece Super League 0.37 0.63 1.53
Algeria Championnat National 0.37 0.63 1.48


The top 10 best teams for playing over 2.5 goals

country team % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
Sweden Akropolis IF 0.88 0.12 3.02
Finland Legirus Inter 0.87 0.13 2.94
Qatar Al-Sadd SC Doha 0.86 0.14 2.9
Kuwait Al Tadhamon SC 0.86 0.14 2.85
Estonia Parnu Vaprus 0.83 0.17 2.66
Netherlands Almere City FC 0.83 0.18 2.59
Qatar Al-Duhail SC Doha 0.82 0.18 2.54
Finland NuPS Nummela 0.82 0.18 2.54
Finland Hercules Oulu 0.82 0.18 2.54
Finland JBK Jakobstad 0.82 0.18 2.54


The top 10 worst teams for playing over 2.5 goals

country team % over 2.5 % under 2.5 number of times the stddev
Argentina Sportivo Estudiantes 0.09 0.91 3.22
Guatemala Deportivo Sanarate 0.13 0.88 2.92
Argentina Gimnasia de Jujuy 0.13 0.88 2.92
Argentina Los Andes 0.13 0.88 2.92
Guatemala Deportivo Carcha 0.14 0.86 2.83
Tunisia Stade Gabesien 0.15 0.85 2.72
South Africa Chippa United 0.16 0.84 2.67
Brazil Centro Sportivo Alagoano AL 0.17 0.83 2.59
Spain Sabadell 0.18 0.82 2.45
Spain Burgos CF 0.18 0.82 2.45


So.. did you have any personal experience with any of the listed teams or leagues?